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<DIV dir=ltr align=left><SPAN class=238580117-25052012><FONT color=#0000ff
size=3>Bret,</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr align=left><SPAN class=238580117-25052012><FONT color=#0000ff
size=3></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr align=left><SPAN class=238580117-25052012><FONT color=#0000ff
size=3>As always, your thoughts are good.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr align=left><SPAN class=238580117-25052012><FONT color=#0000ff
size=3></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr align=left><SPAN class=238580117-25052012><FONT color=#0000ff
size=3>However, the online What's Happening with Conservatives and the Tea
Party newsletter is reporting on the political situation as it exists
<U>today</U>. It is <STRONG>not</STRONG> meant as a prediction for
November. In fact, the newsletter states:</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr align=left><SPAN class=238580117-25052012><FONT color=#0000ff
size=3></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr align=left><SPAN class=238580117-25052012>Of course, there are many
factors that could significantly affect the political landscape between now and
the November 6 election, including the two parties' conventions, the selection
of Romney's vice presidential running mate, the debates, and issues in
Congress.<BR></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr align=left><SPAN class=238580117-25052012><FONT color=#0000ff
size=3>On the other hand, the economy is in such bad shape, if Obama is still
leading <U>now</U>, it is hard to see how his support could deteriorate further
between now and November. It appears he's weathered the political fallout
from his mishandling of the economy.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=238580117-25052012><FONT color=#0000ff
size=3></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=238580117-25052012><FONT color=#0000ff size=3>So, you're right
on target: <U>It will come down to social issues</U>! A significant
shift of liberal Catholics away from Obama would swing the election to
Romney. The bishops seem to be on a mission to defeat Obama with letters
from the Bishop read from the pulpit, sermons denouncing the President, and
bulletin announcements that pull no punches. And the Catholic media is
alive with anti-Obama articles as well.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=238580117-25052012><FONT color=#0000ff
size=3></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=238580117-25052012></SPAN><SPAN class=238580117-25052012><FONT
color=#0000ff size=3>Even Notre Dame has joined in the civil suit against
Obama! That's equivalent to a mea maximum culpa for inviting him to speak
at their commencement ceremony in 2009 and a signal to liberal Catholics that
it's now "a different ballgame."</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=238580117-25052012><FONT color=#0000ff
size=3></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=238580117-25052012><FONT color=#0000ff size=3>I believe it
<U>will</U> make a difference with many white liberal Catholics.
It'll be interesting to see if all of this is having an effect on Black and
Hispanic Catholics. I have a feeling the answer is "NO" with Blacks, but
maybe a little with Hispanics.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=238580117-25052012><FONT color=#0000ff
size=3></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=238580117-25052012><FONT color=#0000ff size=3>So, if the
Bishops and evangelical Protestant ministers continue their drumbeats through
November, some of the states where Obama has an edge now will likely give Romney
an edge in November. However, I'm concerned this has not been reflected in
the polls already. But it may take frequent repetition for it to finally
get through to the "social justice" Catholics and
Protestants.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=238580117-25052012><FONT color=#0000ff
size=3></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=238580117-25052012><FONT color=#0000ff
size=4><EM><STRONG>Art</STRONG></EM></FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#0000ff size=3></FONT><BR></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr lang=en-us class=OutlookMessageHeader align=left>
<HR tabIndex=-1>
<FONT size=2 face=Tahoma><B>From:</B> Bret Bellamy
[mailto:bbellamy@mindspring.com] <BR><B>Sent:</B> Friday, May 25, 2012 6:46
AM<BR><B>To:</B> Art Kelly<BR><B>Subject:</B> Re: If the election were held
today, the winner would be...(and MORE!)<BR></FONT><BR></DIV>
<DIV></DIV><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=2><FONT face=arial,sans-serif>Maybe if
all the CINOs that are "social justice catholics" will finally wake up and see
the Administration for what it is and what it is doing and not pull the "D"
lever like robots, maybe that will change the
prediction.<BR></FONT></FONT></FONT>
<BLOCKQUOTE
style="BORDER-LEFT: #0000ff 2px solid; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 0px">-----Original
Message----- <BR>From: Art Kelly <AKELLY@AMERICANTARGET.COM><BR>Sent: May 24,
2012 3:28 PM <BR>To: arthurkelly@yahoo.com, art.kelly@cox.net <BR>Subject: If
the election were held today, the winner would be...(and MORE!)
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Dannenfelser<BR></FONT></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><A
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class=title>If the election were held today, the winner would be…..(and
MORE!)</H1><BR><BR><FONT face=Arial>by Art Kelly |
5/24/2012</FONT><BR><BR>
<DIV><FONT size=3 face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif">If the
presidential election were held today, the winner of both the popular
vote and Electoral College would be Barack Obama.<BR><BR><STRONG>The
average for eight recent national opinion polls is: Obama 45.5%,
Romney 43.8%, Undecided 10.7%. </STRONG><BR><BR>In electoral votes,
Obama would almost certainly win 18 states, plus the District of
Columbia, for 227 electoral votes, while Romney would very likely win 21
states with 170 electoral votes. <BR><BR><STRONG>There are 11 states
with 141 electoral votes that were listed as “toss-ups.”
</STRONG><BR><BR>Allocating the toss-up states based on the recent polls
results in the grand totals: Obama 303, Romney 235.
<BR><BR><STRONG>The GOP may hang on to control of the House, based on
the average of six recent polls: Republicans 44.3%, Democrats 43.0%,
12.7% Undecided.</STRONG><BR><BR>The Susan B. Anthony List, a
conservative women’s organization headed by Marjorie Dannenfelser, has
produced a powerful new video, <EM>Womanhood</EM>, which received
prolonged applause when it was viewed at a center-right coalition
meeting.<BR><BR><STRONG>The latest Gallup Poll found that only 41% of
Americans consider themselves “pro-choice”--a record
low.</STRONG><BR><BR>50% now consider themselves to be “pro-life”--one
percentage point shy of their record high.<BR><BR><STRONG>However, when
people identify with the label “pro-life,” they do <EM>not</EM> mean
they oppose abortion under <EM>all</EM>
circumstances.</STRONG><BR><BR></FONT></DIV></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
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Tuesday. This week's issue, <STRONG>$20 Million of Your Money Used to
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Thanks!<BR><BR><EM>My60SecondScoops, 60SecondActivist.com</EM><BR><A
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